Business • Oct 19

The AI Trade Bounces Back

Nasdaq futures jump after last week's rout — but the warning signs aren't gone.

The setup

Last week, Wall Street decided the AI trade was broken.

This morning, it changed its mind — at least until the next headline.

The bounce, in numbers

+292 ptsNasdaq 100 futures (+0.99%)
+2.3%Broadcom premarket
+3.8%Intel after JPMorgan upgrade
+1.1%Nvidia

Why last week broke

Good news that looked like bad news.

Anthropic's Q3 revenue hit $16.8B — spectacular, yet it spooked the market. When even a blowout quarter scares investors, the fear isn't failure. It's the bill.

CoreWeave plunged 25% on worries about its debt-funded data-center expansion.

The warning the bounce doesn't fix

"AI credit spreads are at the widest levels of the year."

— Goldman Sachs traders. Bond investors want proof that hundreds of billions in data-center spending will ever earn its keep.

What helped Monday

$107Brent crude a barrel (−1.8%)
5.085%10-year Treasury yield

Cheaper oil and cheaper money are oxygen for growth stocks. Both are fragile.

What decides it

This is the week that settles the argument.

Meta and Tesla report Wednesday. SpaceX reports Tuesday. If AI revenue catches up with AI spending, the rout becomes a buying opportunity. If not — the credit market was right.

Global Insight

Relief, not resolution.

Read the full breakdown — numbers, quotes and what to watch.

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